Friday, June 13, 2003
Kyoto, global warming and climate science: On occasion I'm asked where I disagree with the Bush administration. Well, global warming is one of them. Bush thinks that global warming exists and is a problem. I'm skeptical on the existence of global warming -- especially the culpability of human action in having any major effect on the world's climate.
Iain Murray, over at the Volokh Conspiracy outlines some global warming research he's beeen studying, and he concludes with the following:
This is a perfect illustration of the way the greenhouse theory is manipulated. The base theory suggests warming that isn't happening to the extent it should. Science then suggests something else. A new theory is produced, or an old one updated, to make the new data fit with the base theory. Worst-case scenarios are dreamed up and promulgated, normally worse than before. Action is then demanded now from policy-makers to avert the worst-case scenario.
Whatever this is, it isn't real science. It's science distorted to fit a politically-accepted view of nature. Those who question the progress of the science are vilified and pilloried. Galileo would recognize what's going on here, I think.
That's what I've seen too. Until scientists can come up with a model that can accurately reflect what's happening currently, I'll be skeptical about what their models are predicting.